- Entry
- 166.901
- SL
- 166.263
- Exit
- 168.856
- Result
- +3.02R
All systems / Supertrend MTF
Supertrend MTF v3
A trend system on Supertrend across three timeframes, found by comparing 20 indicators. Used as a diversifying add-on to Ichimoku.
Research / add-on
XAUUSDUSDJPYEURJPYGBPJPYH1 (trend from D1 + H4)Latest update
On a real chart
What Supertrend MTF looks like on a chart
Real trades from the last 3 years, picked by the same rule for every system: a win from the top 10 % of wins (not the best one) and a typical loss (median loss).
- Entry
- 4343.61
- SL
- 4296.69
- Exit
- 4307.19
- Result
- -0.78R
- Supertrend H1: flips side when the trend turns
- Arrow = entry
- Circle = exit
How it works
Supertrend MTF came from asking “what could replace Ichimoku?”. We put 20 indicators into the same template as Ichimoku MTF and ran over 1,100 tests; Supertrend was the best and the steadiest.
- Big trend: Supertrend (ATR 8 ×3) on D1 and H4 must point the same way
- Entry: Supertrend (ATR 20 ×3) on H1 turns with the big trend → enter at the bar close
- Exit: stop / trailing 3 ATR · H1 turns against · TP 5R (v3) · gold is Buy only
How to use it
- Only as an add-on to Ichimoku. On its own it is much weaker than Ichimoku v3.7 (about a third of the return per unit of drawdown)
- Its monthly results correlate only ~0.25 with Ichimoku, so a combined book is steadier, though the book’s PF and win rate are lower than Ichimoku alone
- Sensitive to spread: doubling the spread cuts the return by about a third
- Profits come from a few large trades (about 40 % win) — do not skip trades
- No TradingView indicator or bot yet — research status
Latest version v3
Updated 2026-10-13180-config search + gold-heavy sizing like Ichimoku v3.7
- Gold ×3 the yen pairs · TP 5R · max hold 120 h · no entries 09–11 New York
- Settings chosen on 2006–2019, then checked on unseen 2020–2026: results held (MAR 1.12)
- Checked on independent Dukascopy data: no losing year
Which timeframe
Best: H1H1
All settings were chosen on H1 · the D1 and H4 trends must agree
Why this many trades: About 7 trades a month across 4 pairs; it only enters when H1 Supertrend turns with the bigger trend. (7.2 trades/month)
Version history
v22026-10-13
Tried to match Ichimoku v3.7 on every metric (500 tests) — not adopted
Latest version results (v3)
Hypothetical 2006-01-12 – 2026-10-02 · ทบต้น เสี่ยง 0.5% ต่อไม้ (×1.3 ตามชนิดจุดเข้า) · ทอง ×3 แบบที่ Ichimoku v3.7 ให้ทองเสี่ยงมากกว่าคู่เยน · Source: เอนจิน Python (indicator_lab) · ข้อมูล OANDA H1 · หักสเปรด · เลือกค่าจาก 2006–2019 ตรวจกับ 2020–2026 ที่ไม่ได้ใช้เลือก
Avg. return per year (compounded)
15.5%
Max drawdown
13.4%
Profit factor
1.53
Win rate
40.4%
Longest losing streak
13 trades
Trades
1,790
7.2 trades/month
Worst year
2.1%
in 2018
Losing years
0 years
of 21 years
Profitable months
56.8%
Longest drawdown
670 days
Median hold
26h